Sustainable Development Goals
Abstract/Objectives
In this research, we propose a stochastic multi-strain susceptible-exposed-infectious- recovered (SEIR) epidemic model with vaccination. A Kalman filter model will be applied for this present analysis. We will construct an EM algorithm to estimate the parameters. Additionally, we will evaluate its predictive effect for the number of infected patients, and will discuss the possibility of epidemic control under the different immune effects of the vaccine against multiple strains. Further research efforts and implications are discussed.
Results/Contributions

1.We proposed an EM-PSO algorithm to estimate the model parameters. This algorithm is expected to be fast and efficient.

2.We confirmed the predictive performance of the Kalman filter model through the simulation studies.

Keywords
susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model、Kalman filter model、EM algorithm、vaccination
Contact Information
張延彰(Yen-Chang Chang)
yenchang@mx.nthu.edu.tw